Forward Deployment

Both Foreign Affairs and CATO are writing on the issue of forward deployment of American military forces.

They are starting from the wrong place.

Deployment of military forces is driven by strategy, which is downstream of politics, serving a political goal.

Rather than discuss the best way, or where, to deploy forces, why not backup and discuss the goal? Once the goal is agreed upon, strategy follows.

What is the goal of deploying forces forward in Europe?

If it is to defend Europe, what are we asking those forces, and the American taxpayer to defend?

A) A continent that does not believe in its own future enough to populate it? Why?

B) A continent in which the only working-age people in 20 years will be illiterate muslims? Why?

C) A continent that has eschewed Western Civ – Free Speech, art, music, the Rule of Law, Individual Liberty, etc. Why?

NATO – forward deployment in Europe – also presupposes a specific opponent. Yet, if Putin falls, a resurgent islam will take over Russia from the south within a decade – at the outside. A Putin-led Russia is far better than the global chaos of a Putin-less Russia, yet our deployments are designed to thwart him from.. what? Colonizing europe before the illiterate muslims do? Why is that in our best interests?

And if we continue pushing on Russia, he may well decide that a new Sino-Russia entente is a good idea to deal with the continental problem of islam – and Russia could be driven into China’s lap to deal with the existential threat to civilization that is islam… So why would we deploy forward to support that?

If the West had political leaders, they’d sit and discuss the global threat that is islam and then define a strategy to oppose that, and THEN we could discuss deployment, forward and otherwise…

Or we could go with Ike’s MR strategy, use 1-2 tactical nukes appropriately, show the cost to those attacking Western Civ, probably resulting in fewer attacks immediately from opponents, making the world far safer, and DoD budgets far smaller… making a 5kt strike our “forward deployment” at far lower costs in men and materiel…

Discussion of deployment in absence of political goals is putting out the cart before the horse is even born.

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That Guy

That kid you grew up with. You’ve known him since you can remember. His kid brother, too. First guy to get a motorcycle. Hung with the biker crowd but unfailingly polite to parents. Gave the real rowdies what for more than once.

Great athlete. First kid in your group to throw a curve ball; you remember watching his dad teach him in their back yard. The kid every other kid in the neighborhood looked up to. Dad, Navy WW2. Mom, Kentucky born & raised. Both gone now.

Off to Vail after High School to build houses all summer & ski all winter. Best dog-golf story you’ve ever heard. Tired of using a front-end loader to clear his driveway of snow after five years, moved home to Pasadena. Married. Divorced. Two kids. Girls. Both out of USC now. On their own. Successful

Camping bud. Backpacking bud. New Year’s Eve one year atop Telescope Peak on the western edge of Death Valley.  That guy. Played a couple years on your softball team. His dad pitched a bit for you.

He sold his OC condo & moved to AZ. Retiring? Or just the economic change and unable to find good work? Who knows? I’m too young not to do something, he said Home Depot? Lowes? Was going to hit the local skate rink to see if they had some amateur hockey.

That guy and his kid brother were going to drive down to Phoenix Sunday morning. The kid brother was coming out to see the new place I’d just helped Larry move into three weeks ago in Prescott after he’d stayed out our home a week while he & my wife house-hunted & played golf – then stayed again when moving in and awaiting his stuff. The cake mix for his birthday cake was on the kitchen counter.

But then he didn’t respond to Facebook posts from my wife regarding Sunday’s schedule. His brother in Orange County couldn’t reach him. I couldn’t raise him. No one had talked to him in a couple of days. He hadn’t felt well when his brother talked with him three nights ago.

Cops. Drive-by health check. My wife hopped in the truck and headed to Prescott while I was packing for a to-be-cancelled dive weekend in LA with my son.

Birthday last week. 64.

That guy. The one who became your best friend. The one you have known, literally a lifetime. The guy you laughed with and shook hands two weekends back as you left. All moved in.

See ya in a bit.

The weekend will suck.

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Here Comes Another Dumb War We’ll Refuse To Win

So it looks like Kim Dum Idiot is aching for war.

Here are my thoughts, FWIW. Anyone able & willing to educate me is welcome to give it a shot. But if all you want to tell me is what we CAN’T do as we sacrifice tens of thousands of our irreplaceable kids, and another few trillion dollars, on a peninsula able to defend itself, in a war 10,000 miles away that we will refuse to win… I’d say you have your work cut out for you.

Given that in conventional war the side with the most artillery tubes wins, that the Norks have thousands of tubes within range of Seoul, that many of these are at the ends of tunnels that will empty into South Korea tens of thousands of infantry in the first hours of any conventional engagement – and that the headlines & footage will be SO bad that the calls for immediate departure will be louder than an M1A1 main gun, I see no way to defeat North Korea, or to do so without turning Seoul into a charred wasteland. Putting the Vietnam story into steroids: Destroy the country to save the country.

The West, through 60 years of utterly feckless “Defense” policy in which we planned on and convinced ourselves (and our unfortunate allies) that our dominance was such that no one would dare attack us (said “dominance” of physical force, not willpower, which is what wins wars), even though that mentality of dominance has caused us to lose, tie or make permanent every war we have fought since 1945 – now is drinking its own Kool-Aid, enriching only the Military-Industrial Complex against which Ike warned (the last president who knew war), and killing our kids for nothing, and our opponent’s kids – I guess to destroy the human capital they’d need to rebuild.

Can we “win” vs North Korea? How?

We can’t “win” vs illiterate, untrained, ill-equipped ragheads with knee mortars and .30-cal assault rifles, against whom we have been sending our kids for four times the length of WW2 – in which we defeated utterly the two most modern military forces across the entire planet in 3.5 years.

Four issues of warfare have been proved since 1945:

  1. America will ONLY fight wars of attrition, rejecting weapons making any war OTHER THAN a war of attrition; and America cannot win a war of attrition
  2. Only the Rules Of Engagement we used in WW2 can defeat an ideological foe – no ideological foe ever will be defeated in cost-benefit warfare, which is the only kind we any more are willing to “fight;” and we will reject those Rules Of Engagement
  3. Nuclear proliferation is the only way to ensure one’s nation never is attacked and, lacking that proliferation may well ensure one’s nation being gobbled up by a hungry neighbor… I’m talking to YOU, Ukraine. And soon, YOU, the geography soon to be formerly known as the Republic of Korea.
  4. Americans will continue to send their irreplaceable kids off to die in wars the politicians we vote into office will demand we fight but refuse to win. And we’ll see more and more commercials and street flags and “Hometown Hero” nonsense that somehow sending our kids 10,000 miles away – again – to die in combat we refuse to win – again – for a country unwilling to defend itself is “patriotic”.

North Korea cannot be defeated conventionally. Our politicians have ensured that by letting them get nukes. Worry about a fallout cloud over Japan? What China will say? That’s defeatism. So what? If we go massively conventional, North Korea will go nuclear: Fallout. If North Korea goes nuclear, we will, too: Fallout (or we’ll have our own little revolution here at home).

North Korea KNOWS we will not go nuclear… and they KNOW they cannot be defeated conventionally. So… guess what’s gonna happen? Dover AFB is going to get REALLY busy.

China? So we are supposed to kill tens of thousands of our kids so as not to annoy China? No. Will China start WW3 by nuking the US if we nuke Pyongyang? No. Am I sure? No. Am I willing to make that bet? What is the alternative – worse and worse Great Power relations until we just roll over and die? I’d rather die fighting, thank you very much; it’s how the West was built – and it beats hell out of surrender to communists (or muslims).

Look – this is S. Korea’s and Japan’s problem, not ours. Both those nations have economies and technologies capable of creating nuclear weapons. Nukes are the ONLY way any of us can defeat – as in DEFEAT – North Korea. Guess who knows that? North Korea. (And if you like summer re-runs, just wait a few years and you’ll be able to watch to Iran doing the same thing.)

If South Korea & Japan refuse to defend themselves, if they don’t think their own nations are worthy of being defended… WHY SHOULD WE?

Why should we sacrifice OUR kids to THEIR laziness?

One doesn’t put limits on war and expect to win. War is about winning. If that doesn’t interest you – don’t go, and don’t vote for politicians who will demand you send YOUR kids to die in wars THEY start and refuse to win.

Either the West grows a pair and again starts defeating its enemies, or the West will die.

It is that simple. It is folly to think otherwise.

 

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They Are Killing Us Now

How does one explain to a sentient adult that we have the capability to destroy the enemy killing our children… and are choosing not to use it?

How does one explain to history that in the most important endeavor of mankind – war – we have been running FROM, rather than TO our most productive weapons? War is about killing; lack of productivity means killing MORE. How is that not insane?

I continually post that we – the West – must accept that Mecca, Medina, Qom must be annihilated, that the killing FOR the ideology will not stop until the ideology ITSELF is killed. Here’s why:

An ideology is at war with a West that has been begging that ideology to leave us alone. They’ve refused. We, however, have rejected war with that ideology.

This is an existential mistake – only one side in this clash will survive. Not believing this, believing we can coexist, is nothing but the projection by the West of Western mores onto non-Western cultures; it is monocultural and imperialistic. It also is naïve, ignorant and wrong.

WE believe in coexistence.

THEY do not believe in coexistence.

This is not a bridgeable divide.

People do not surrender what they believe.

Aware that we could annihilate in a microsecond the centers of that ideology, something that took us years and 400,000 dead Americans to do in the destruction of the last two ideologies to attack us, we have refused to make war on this ideology (combat is not war and combat WITHOUT war is immoral – yet it’s all we’ve been willing to do since 1945). Instead, we have killed a million (literally) of them and thousands of our own to no observable purpose.

Why?

We killed 2M Koreans and 2M Vietnamese to no purpose, as well. Why?

We didn’t kill a million people in Hiroshima (150,000) or Nagasaki (80,000). The use of nuclear weapons SAVED between 6M-10M lives (USN est Japanese deaths at 9M; USArmy est 5M, both est American deaths at 1M in an invasion).

We have spent on our S. Asia “wars” more in current dollars than it cost to defeat the two most modern military forces on the planet, simultaneously, across the entire planet, and in only 3.5 years: $4T. That $4T could have been spent on infrastructure, education – or just not added to our debt and subtracting from our kids’ future living standards.

The loss of never-to-be-born kids to never-to-be-parent Americans is inestimable.

My kids are 19, 21 – and have no recollection of an America NOT at war. THAT is shameful, far more shameful that the utter annihilation of the centers of the, literally, Stone Age ideology we send our kids to engage but not to defeat.

We – the West – ALL of us, need to differentiate between combat and war. We keep telling ourselves of the Vietnam War (it wasn’t), the Korean War (it wasn’t), the Gulf War (it wasn’t), and now the “war” in Iraq, Afghanistan, Syria… Libya. None are or were wars. All were and are combat without war.

Sending our kids out to die in combat for wars we refuse to declare, fight or win is immoral. Killing THEIR kids, the human capital THEY will need to re-build after these “wars” we refuse to win, is equally immoral.

IF these “wars” ever end; and do YOU see any end in sight?

Contrary to what seems to be popular belief / conventional wisdom, the annihilation of the centers of muslim ideology does not mean killing all the muslims any more than the destruction of Berlin, Tokyo, Hiroshima, Nagasaki meant killing all Japanese or Germans.

“muslims will react and kill us!”

They are killing us now.

“They’ll kill us in greater numbers!”

A distinction without a difference, and the essence of surrender.

There is no Plan B but to be killed ourselves. By Stone Age illiterate savages.

Is that how you want your children to die?

People complain that we can and must avoid civilian casualties, that any larger attack that kills civilians cannot be accepted.

This is a gross misunderstanding of the language we use to understand and describe reality. It is a gross misunderstanding of our place in this clash.

We believe we are so powerful they will accept this and stop fighting – so we need not use our full capability. This is the basis of the embarrassingly absurd “Shock and Awe”
nonsense. They believe we lack the willpower to use that capability to defeat them – and so they will defeat us.

Since 1945 – guess who is correct?

In war people die. In modern war, millions of people die. Whining doesn’t change this – it only delays and increases the killing. If you want to end the killing – history teaches that you must kill the enemy in large numbers as fast as you can. Then – and only then – can the killing stop. That is what war is about.

But – Western – sensibilities (and only Western sensibilities) require that we avoid killing civilians in our firefights, sometimes at the cost of someone’s son.

Innocent bystanders exist in combat, and we believe that non-combatants should not be targeted in combat.

But combat is combatant v combatant. It is man-on-man. It is violence, anger, fear, terror, sweat, blood, pain, tears, anguish and death. Combat is not the destruction of a nation, a culture or a civilization. Combat is not the destruction of liberty or freedom.

Firefights are combat. Combat is not War. We use different words for a reason.

War is ideology v ideology. It is when one ideology uses all its power – economic, military, political – to bend the will of their adversary to their way — or dies trying.

Combat is existential for human beings. War is existential for ideologies and nations.

There are no innocent bystanders in war.

Islam is killed. Or human rights, liberty and freedom… die.

This is and must be war. One side will win.

The other side will die trying.

 

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Crossroads. The Near and Far Enemies – and Our Future

The law and the morality of a society are what the citizens/subjects are willing to put up with. It’s might makes right, regardless of what one may think or believe.

The might of Christianity and of Western Civilization has made our – unique – view of morality, human rights, etc., the dominant one, and therefore “right,” but it is foolish think this would have been the case had Christianity and the West not become the mightiest of civilizations.

It is equally foolish to think our rights exist for any reason other than our willingness to destroy any enemy attacking them. To destroy enemies across thousands of years and by the millions of metric tons. To annihilate those attacking our lives, our cities, our nation – our children – with all the force and speed and technology we could muster. To lay waste to their cities and to THEIR children – for children are what any civilization is about, without which no civilization can survive or prosper, and why would I want an enemy civilization to prosper… or survive?

But we survived and prospered for another reason, as well, and that is the willingness to self-correction. We corrected the error of the Inquisition, of internal totalitarianism, of misusing our religion to enslave rather than to free. We ended slavery. We corrected the error of the German totalitarianism that grew within our civilization – twice.

But then we stopped. And stasis cannot survive.

We stopped waging war on our enemies and began treating them as misguided, childlike adversaries to be scolded and not spanked – rather than killed, as would have those who created our rights, our civilization.  We stopped correcting the internal errors of Marx, of of Wilson and FDR, and got Carter and Pelosi and Schumer and Ryan and Obama, and of our academic institutions raising our future in their, not our, image. By not correcting these errors, by being too lazy, intellectually and otherwise, we dismissed as minor symptoms the disease that now is killing us.

We began instead to hubristically involve ourselves in the business, nations and civilizations of others. At the same time we were allowing – encouraging and ignoring – the death of our body politic, we were meddling in other’s, pretending they must act as we do – yet, somehow not believe as do we. We decided we could grow a new body within an opponent, a new body that would agree with us, but that we could do so without providing the required sustenance, to allow poison to be fed but expect a healthy body to emerge. We thought we could extend our ideology of liberty without extending our wisdom of freedom and individual rights, hard-won since ancient Greece.

As we fade out for not having taught our children well, another “might” is replacing us with Darwinian finality. This other “might” already has replaced Europe, which now lacks any semblance of human rights at their own choice. The new “might” of a 7th-Century barbaric savagery will become “right” as it has across an islam that, only a few centuries ago, created art, tapestry, science, and explored the earth and philosophy – for what is math but philosophy?

Our leaders and our subservient selves willing to put up with them, are assuring our descendants a future without Western Civilization, without human rights as we have understood them for millennia, without the liberty that was our birthright but that we are denying them.

As we play in our sandbox with our infantile view of our unchallengeable dominance, our fantasy of the lack of need to defend ourselves and our civilization, our rejection of any need to protect and defend our freedoms and our liberties and our children, our wasteful refusal to kill our enemies, the existential enemy has entered the grounds and begun picking-off the weak, the stragglers, the outliers, invited in by us and assisted by quislings we have made and of whom we often have made celebrities.

The enemy now is closing the circle on our low-fertility civilization that many of our own hate, perhaps only because they don’t understand the alternative to what they reject and that awaits them. And that, too, is our fault.

And why would a more confident, vibrant civilization not destroy us? If we don’t believe in our future enough to populate it, if we don’t believe in it enough to defend it, to kill our enemies in the number required to stop them from their destruction of the freest the world ever has known…. If we don’t believe in liberty, why would – why should – our enemies?

What is a civilization without children, without a future? It is decadence. It is an unwillingness to discomfit others and ourselves to save art, science, math, progress… history. It is europe. It is California, New York, Illinois. It is over.

This is a crossroads. We kill or we die. It is not a police action to scold or even to arrest one or two or a hundred. It is a war, a war for all in which we have believed since the birth of Christ – and before. It is not a Germany attacking France or Britain thousands of miles away. It is not Japan attacking a remote island.

It is a near enemy, our government, attacking our freedoms, destroying our liberties as they grow ever-larger, ever-more unconstrained, ever-hungrier to take what is ours. It is a far enemy, a foreign culture invading us as our government has removed the geographical obstacles that have forever protected us – our oceans.

Will OUR might succeed? Will OUR might still protect what we believe are OUR rights to life, liberty, property, safety? Will OUR might protect our children from the enemies who would kill them… or the enemies we have allowed to enslave them to totalitarian ideologies for 80 years?

Or will we join europe in not protecting our children, our women, our girls – the most important part of any civilization – and die?

The far enemy is an islam drawing ever-closer. But it cannot arrive without the near enemy – our own government and those voters who hate freedom.

Trump is fighting the near enemy alone, trying to return us to the Rule of Law, to our roots as a Constitutional republic under law. He is but one man fighting the inertia of a ruling class that has placed itself deep within our minds and our nation for nearly a century, a class demonstrably willing to sacrifice our security for their power and riches.

The question we need to be asking ourselves is not, “Can he do it?” but, rather, “How long do we watch from the sidelines as he battles our enemies alone before we raise a hand, a torch, a gun… and help him?”

If we reject our might, the might of liberty handed down to us by forefathers willing to kill and die for it, our Rights will be forever gone, replaced by other’s might – and no rights at all.

What’s it going to be?

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