When one takes the long look of history, two errors of Western Civilization stand out above all others.
The first, US entry into WW1, birthed the USSR, Weimar Republic, NAZIs, WW2 ETO, Red China, Cold War, Korea & Vietnam, and Left hundreds of millions dead.
The second, Kuwait, with a familial epilogue of Afghanistan & Iraq, destroyed S Asia & the Middle East, created the largest immigration outside of war in human history and is in the process of destroying European civilization and attacking America.
Both of these mistakes were by individuals insisting on defining the roles of other nations and were none of our business: Wilson(D) the first, Bush 41 & 43 (R) the second.
It is likely these men will go down as the worst presidents in our history, and among the great destroyers of civilizations, cultures & societies.
The question, then: How do we prevent recurrence? I suggest that rejecting conventional warfare entirely, building DOWN our conventional capability to intentionally preclude this interventionist destruction, and re-adopting Ike’s MR, is the only way to do so.
Our reasons for massive conventional capability have been twofold; neither anymore exists:
- To fight two regional wars concurrently (we are unable/unwilling – a distinction without a difference – to fight one to successful cousin, e.g. Victory)
- To prevent a Russian thrust into Europe. Having surrendered its demographic future, it should be evident that not even Europeans care about their future – so why would we?
Right now we have some General testifying we can’t leave Afghanistan for fear of attacks here. Really? Forever? This is nothing but “empire building” in the business sense: large budgets & TO&E.
We find ourselves in a perfect time and place, with the perfect president (a non-ideological pragmatist) to implement MR. The deserts of Iraq, Syria, Afghanistan & SWAT hold few people, fewer peaceful people, and nothing of importance to the outside world. We have a Western population past fed-up with the hornets whose nest we have disturbed.
Announce MR, drop a few tactical nukes on ISIS & al Qaeda, tell the world we aren’t going to ever again be un-serious in war, and quit spending hundreds of billions on conventional systems & forces.
As Ike asked, “How many schools did that bomber cost?”
As long as we leave presidents with a choice of less-than-catastrophic destruction of our enemies, they will use it in pursuit of goals not worth fighting for (proven by not even trying to win), and the results will be as we see above.
Move to MR, remove the ability to wage conventional war in even regional theaters. Or our presidents will continue to wage dumb, small wars that will prove catastrophic over time – and give our competitors (Russia: Crimea, Ukraine, Georgia…) implicit permission to do the same.