Speculation recently began in the blogosphere re: 2012 and the GOP noms. Powerline put Palin as the front-runner, for example. (I disagree with that and address it below; I think Christie will run and demolish the Left, BTW.)
RedState today makes a blithe assumption that Obama will be the Dem nom. I doubt this, too.
Nomination fights when an incumbent is on the ballot are not all that unusual, and the hammering Obama and the Dems are taking points toward a serious challenge to Obama from within his own party. He certainly has lost the middle, without which not only can he not win, it is highly probable that his negative coat-tails would ensure even larger GOP majorities in the House and Senate than will be gained this November.
Hillary is looking at her last chance for the Presidency in 2012, and she knows it – so does Bill. She already has begun distancing herself from Obama’s domestic policies. My guess is that she’ll quit as SecState in December of this year, following the election and before the GOP Congress takes over.
It is more than likely that a large portion of the Democrat base and left-leaning centrists would come Hillary’s way in a primary contest. Those centrists are leaning GOP now, but that is not because anyone trusts the GOP; it’s just that nearly no one other than the SEIU, AFSCSME, NEA and African Americans still trust the Dems. And who knows how badly the GOP could screw-up the next two years if they listen to the moderates rather than the Ryans and Rubios and Christies?
We’ve all seen (lived through) how badly Obama can screw-up the economy and Foreign Policy, and Hilary now is making her chops in FP, having done so domestically in Healthcare and the Senate.
Easily the most fascinating development of a Democrat intra-party fight for the 2012 nom is the African-American vote. Absent the Black vote, the Dems haven’t won a national election since 1960.
Hilary’s running against The One would split large numbers of African Americans from the Dems and force them – FINALLY – to take a long, hard look at their best interests. Best interests, of course, far better served by Conservative policy than by “Liberal” or “Progressive” policy.
Don’t believe me?
Dems have had inner city schools since 1945… Are they better or worse?
- Dems have had mega-city City Councils since 1945…. Are they better or worse?
- Dems refuse to alter Social Security so Blacks spend their entire working lives (which begin sooner than Whites’) paying for old white folks’ retirement, then die before they get any earned benefits, and none of their earnings go to their heirs. The most racist government policy in America is Social Security. (If Steele and the GOP had three working brain cells they’d be out proselytizing this daily, BTW.)
- Dem and Liberal policies have had Detroit since the 1960s when LBJ made it a “model city,” in which all of the Progressive polices have been enacted: “Living Wage,” increased per-pupil spending, absurdly high public sector union wages, etc.
“Let’s discuss the total failure of the Detroit political system which has taken a city of 1,800,000 with the highest per capita income in the United States and has driven it into the ground so there are now fewer than 900,000 people there with a per-capita income that is 62nd in the United States.”
In fact, here are two cities in 1945… and today. “Liberal policy failure” seems an egregious understatement.
It would be, strike that, it IS extremely difficult to think of a policy as destructive of people’s lives as “Progressive” policies. We KNOW this. Heck, we WON the Cold War and all those utterly FAILED E. European states ought to be shining (“Dismal”?) examples of socialist policy writ large. But Liberals cannot learn from their failures – and they’ve never had a success.
Perhaps Hillary’s running against Barack, regardless of whether she wins, could be a very good thing for America, causing Blacks to stop being pandered-to by those most insistent in keeping them on the plantation? And, if she were to win the nom… will African Americans vote for her? Stay home? Vote GOP?
Who knows? But an intra-party Dem fight for 2012 could be a Very Good Thing.
In my view the media has gone so far overboard, trashed itself so fully, invested itself so much in their seriously deranged narrative of Palin – a woman meeting ALL goals the Feminists began Liberation to meet, BTW – that they cannot go back; they cannot allow her to win. Regardless of the sheer number of lies they will have to tell, they realize that if America were to vote Palin, the MSM would be destroyed at a very fundamental level. Those with recognizable names would be fired as MSM execs tried to regain even a splinter of credibility and profitability. I simply don’t believe that the media can – or will – allow Palin to win. There remain enough Americans, for reasons directly connected to the mal-education of American voters for 50 years by the NEA, who still pay attention to the MSM and go with the voting information they hear and read from the media. I doubt that Palin can win against what certainly will be a media Kamikaze attack of unprecedented ruthlessness, rudeness, unethical-ness and just plain mean-ness.
We all know who REALLY are the mean folks out there don’t we Michelle… and they aren’t Conservatives.